Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

VCIOM keeps tracking the public opinions about the pre-election situation in Moscow. The previous survey (http://wciom.ru/index.php?id=459&uid=114935) referred to the attitudes of the voters towards the candidates` party affiliation and parties that fielded their candidates. This survey was conducted in 43th electoral district and presents the attitudes of the voters towards candidates in a single-seat constituency.

MOSCOW, August 20, 2014. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the information concerning the public awareness about the upcoming Moscow Duma elections, declared electoral activity and political preferences.

An overwhelming majority of the residents of the 43th Moscow electoral district are aware of the upcoming Moscow Duma elections (91%). The level of the declared electoral activity is 54% (34% say they will definitely take part in elections; 18% have doubts about that). One-quarter of respondents (24%) are not planning to take part in elections. Every fifth (22%) will take decision right before the elections.

Most of respondents are confident that the elections will be trustful: 36% expect that there will be no violations; 32% say that if the violations take place they will be small and will have no effect on the outcome of the elections. Twenty-two percent of respondents feel suspicious about the outcome of the elections.

L. Yarmolnik is the most popular candidate; three-quarter of respondents know who he is (74%). V. Shastina is known among 26% of respondents. Only one-tenth of respondents have heard about T. Denisenko (10%), Yu. Kravchenko (9%), S. Ivanenko (9%), A. Iksanova (9%). Every sixth (18%) does not know any of the candidates.

L. Yarmolnik is the one who is campaigning most actively; every third respondent (36%) has encountered advertising and informational materials of this candidate over the recent month. Every forth (25%) has seen the agitation materials of V. Shastina. At the same time, 40% have not seen any materials of any other candidate.

Most of respondents would vote for L. Yarmolnik (24%) followed by V. Shastina 10%.  Others would support T. Denisenko (3%), S. Ivanenko (2%), A. Iksanova (2%), Yu. Kravchenko (2%). Almost every second (43%) does not know what candidate he/she supports  for.

Asked about what candidate is supported by the Moscow authorities, 77% of respondents fail to name any of them. The remainder are divided in the opinions: L. Yarmolnik (11%), V. Shastina (8%), T. Denisenko (4%), Yu. Kravchenko (3%), S. Ivanenko (3%), A. Iksanova (3%).

The VCIOM opinion poll was conducted on August 15-19, 2014. One thousand Moscow residents living in three districts of Moscow (Presnenskiy, Arbat and Khamovniki) were interviewed via phone. The margin of error does not exceed 3.4%.

            Do you know/ have you heard that this autumn the Moscow Duma elections are taking place? (closed-ended question, one answer)

 

Total respondents

I know  

66

I heard something

25

This is the first time that I hear about that

9

Don`t know

- 

            Will you take part in the September 14 elections? (closed-ended question, one answer)

 

Total respondents

I do not know yet; I will decide later, before the elections

22

Yes, I will

34

Rather yes

18

Rather no

8

No, I will not

16

Don`t know

2

            In your opinion, to what extent can we trust the results of the Moscow Duma elections?

(closed-ended question, one answer)

 

Total respondents

I think that the results of the elections will be trustful

36

Some manipulations may take place but they will not affect the outcome

32

I think that the outcome of the elections will not be trustful

22

Don`t know

10 

Which politician/public person/manager have you heard about?

(closed-ended question, any number of answers)

 

Total respondents

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Yarmolnik Leonid Isaakovich

74

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Shastina Vera Rostislavovna

26

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Denisenko Tatiana Ivanovna

10

Kravchenko Yuri Aleksandrovich

9

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Ivanenko Sergei Viktorovich

9

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Iksanova Arina Takhirovna

9

I do not know them

18

Don`t know

1

            Which candidates` informational materials (posters, flyers) have you encountered over the recent month in mass media (TV, radio, newspapers, Internet)?

(closed-ended question, any number of answers)

 

Total respondents

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Yarmolnik Leonid Isaakovich

36

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Shastina Vera Rostislavovna

25

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Iksanova Arina Takhirovna

8

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Denisenko Tatiana Ivanovna

7

Kravchenko Yuri Aleksandrovich

4

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Ivanenko Sergei Viktorovich

4

I have not seen any advertising campaign materials

40

Don`t know

7

            If the Moscow Duma elections took place next Sunday, who would you vote for? (closed-ended question, one answer)

 

Total respondents

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Yarmolnik Leonid Isaakovich

24

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Shastina Vera Rostislavovna

10

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Denisenko Tatiana Ivanovna

3

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Ivanenko Sergei Viktorovich

2

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Iksanova Arina Takhirovna

2

Kravchenko Yuri Aleksandrovich

2

I would spoil the ballot

1

I would not go to vote

12

Don`t know

43

            In your opinion, which candidate is supported by the Moscow authorities?

(closed-ended question, any number of answers)

 

Total respondents

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Yarmolnik Leonid Isaakovich

11

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Shastina Vera Rostislavovna

8

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Denisenko Tatiana Ivanovna

4

Kravchenko Yuri Aleksandrovich

3

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Ivanenko Sergei Viktorovich

3

<link http: www.moscow_city.vybory.izbirkom.ru region>Iksanova Arina Takhirovna

3

No one

5

Don`t know

77

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