Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

Six percent of Russians eligible to vote declare their willingness to vote for A Just Russia. However, the core of the electorate is minimal and does not reach 1% of the total Russian voters.  

 

MOSCOW, November 18, 2020. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the findings of a survey describing the level of electoral support for A Just Russia.

As last year, 6% of Russians say they would vote for A Just Russia.  An all-time high, since the record began in 2015, was recorded in 2016 (6.1%), the worst decline was recorded in 2015 (4.4%).

The core supporters, i.e. those respondents who would willingly vote for A Just Russia and do not admit a possibility to vote for any other party, is represented by less than 1%. The periphery of the electorate is 6%; it means that 6% of Russians show their willingness to vote for A Just Russia but admit a possibility to vote for other parties or are undecided. When asked directly, every second respondent is likely not to vote for this party (50%).

More than half of Russians report to be unlikely interested in the activities of A Just Russia (69%). They are opposed by 26% of respondents. As to the party’s achievements, an overwhelming majority of respondents (96%) fail to cite any over the recent 2-3 years. As to the party’s failures, 90% also could not answer the question; 2% say that A Just Russia failed to cancel the pension reform.

According 35% of Russians, A Just Russia serves the interests of the entire society. Almost every second Russian considers that the party is likely to serve the interests of the minority or a small group of people (43%).

Russians believe that the party is likely to speak out in favor of social justice (44%), rather than the development of market economy (18%). In the Russian perceptions, A Just Russia is likely to be a conservative party oriented towards stability (41%), rather than a reformist party seeking changes (19%). Thirty percent of Russians are confident that the party defends the interests of ordinary people; however, 38% think that the party supports the most prosperous part of society. The party is not capable of ensuring the country’s development (47%); this opinion is opposed by 23%. Most of the party’s members are people without high moral principles (35% support; 22% oppose this opinion). Those who belong to this party are mainly public officials (52%), rather than ordinary people (18%). Russians believe that this is a party of empty promises (46%); however, 17% do not agree with this stance - they think this is a party of real action.  

Russian nationwide VCIOM-Sputnik survey was conducted on November 11, 2020. Results are based on telephone interviews with 1,600 Russians aged 18 and older. Stratified dual-frame random sample based on a complete list of Russian landline and mobile phone numbers was used. The data were weighted according to selection probability and social and demographic characteristics. The margin of error at a 95% confidence level does not exceed 2.5%. In addition to sampling error, minor changes to the wording of questions and different circumstances arising during the fieldwork can introduce bias into the survey.

 

DECLARED VOTE DYNAMICS

A JUST RUSSIA

 (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Declared vote for A Just Russia

 

4.4

6.1

5.0

5.0

6.0

6.0

If State Duma elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for?
(closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

IV.18

X.18

XII.18

III.19

IV.19

XI.20

CORE OF THE ELECTORATE

 

<1

1

<1

1

<1

<1

PERIPHERY OF THE ELECTORATE

5

5

6

6

7

6

 

If State Duma elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for? A Just Russia
(closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

VIII.16

XI.19

X.20

I do not admit the possibility to vote for this party

41

53

50

I admit the possibility to vote for this party

46

39

38

Are you likely to be interested/not interested in the activities of A Just Russia?

(closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

IV.2019

XI.20

Likely interested

25

26

Likely not interested

70

69

Don’t know

5

5

Can you cite three most important achievements of A Just Russia over the recent
2-3 years?
 (% of respondents, open-ended question, not more than 3 answers)

 

Total respondents

Support for social policies

1

Economic initiatives

1

Speaking against the pension reform

1

They survived as a party / they got into Duma

1

Other

2

No achievements were made

12

Don’t know

84

Can you cite three most important failures of A Just Russia over the recent
2-3 years
(% of respondents, open-ended question, not more than 3 answers)

 

Total respondents

The party failed to cancel the pension reform

2

Economic initiatives

1

They give promise but do nothing / fail to go through with what they promised

1

Support for the ruling party  

1

Lack of attention to social policy

1

They are outdated / old ideas / no remarkable leaders

1

Weak campaigning  / failure in the elections

1

They do not show themselves off

1

This party is too small in the political arena

1

Support for the amendments to the Constitution

1

Other

2

There were no failures

5

Don’t know

85

In your opinion, whose interests does A Just Russia serve? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

IV.2019

XI.20

It serves the interests of the entire society

39

11

It serves the interests of the majority

24

It serves the interests of the minority

39

10

It serves the interests of a small group of people

33

Don’t know

22

22

I will read out a pair of statements concerning A Just Russia. Which statement do you most agree with; which statement reflects best your position?   (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

First statement

Second statement

This party speaks out in favor of social justice OR

This party  speaks out in favor of the development of market economy

44

18

This is a conservative party oriented towards stability and not seeking changes OR

This is a reformist party oriented towards changes, new ideas and approach  

41

19

This party defends the interests of ordinary people OR

This party  defends the interests of the most prosperous part of society

30

38

This is a party that can ensure country’s development OR

This is a party that cannot ensure the country’s  development

23

47

Most of the party members are people with high moral principles OR

Most of the party members are people who lack strict moral principles

22

35

Most of the party members are ordinary people, just like me OR

Most of the party members are public officials, people from the halls of power

18

52

This is a party of real action. The party accomplishes what it promised OR

This is a party of empty promises. The largest portion of what was promised was not accomplished. 

17

46


Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory.

 

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