Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

Russians regard the Krymsk flooding as a natural disaster rather than a manmade one, however they think that the number of victims could have been lessened if people had been warned in time.

MOSCOW, July 19, 2012. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the data describing the opinion of Russians on the causes of the Kuban flood, who is responsible and whether people are ready to help the victims of the flood.

The flood in Krasnodar region had a wide public response: 95% of Russians, to one degree or another, are informed about the tragedy including 62% of those who are well informed and 33% of those who are generally informed. Those who are best informed are Russians aged above 45 (66%), residents of million cities (69%) and middle cities (67%). Less informed are young Russians (44%). Only 5% of respondents have heard about the tragedy for the first time during the poll.

Almost every second respondent informed about the Kuban flood regard it as natural disaster (46%). Whereas every fifth conclude that the disaster was due to negligence and irresponsibility of authorities and employees of public bodies (22%). The share of those who believe that the disaster was caused by the discharge of water from a reservoir or a dam break does not exceed 5%. Those who think that the flood was stirred up by subversive actions (2%), by human interference with nature, by supernatural forces or poor geographical position of the flooded cities are in the minority (1%, for each).

The overwhelming majority of those who are well informed are confident that the number of victims could have been lessened (89%). They are only opposed by 11% of respondents. Almost every second see the reason of the death of people in inadequate actions of authorities and emergency bodies (32% believe that the early warning system was not timely; 13% point out negligence and irresponsibility of authorities; 5% say the authorities were lacking an emergency action plan; 4% blame emergence services for poor and ineffective work and 3% point out the delayed evacuation and assistance to victims. Every tenth respondent believe that the crucial role was played by the effect of surprise: it happened at night when people were sleeping (11%). Other 6% blame the victims themselves for their sluggishness and confusion. Those who think that the most important factor was the discharge of water form a reservoir (3%) are in the minority.

Those Russians who are informed about the situation in Kuban blame local (28%) or regional authorities or the governor Tkachev personally (21%). Rarer respondents blame the structure of power in general, or its federal level (8%, for each). In the minority are those Russians who blame the Ministry for Natural Disasters (6%) or hydrometeorological center (2%). There are also those who think that there is no one to blame as intense natural disasters cannot be forecast or predicted (23%).

Thirty-four percent of Russians are ready to help the victims of the flood. In particular, 14% are ready to provide them with food, clothes and medicine; 13% could transfer money into a special account. Those who can go to Kuban to provide assistance are in the minority. The most active respondents are Russians aged 25-44 (37-38%) and Muscovites and St.Petersburgians (45%). Fifty-eight percent of Russians do not plan to provide any assistance to Kuban inhabitants. To compare: in August 2010 the share of those who did not assist the victims of fire was much higher (87%).

The initiative Russian opinion polls were conducted July 14-15, 2012. 1600 respondents were interviewed at 138 sampling points in 46 regions of Russia. The margin of error does not exceed 3.4%.

A week ago the inhabitants of Krymsk, Gelengzhik, Novorossiysk and small cities of Krasnodar krai survived a disastrous flood that ruined more than 5 000 homes; more than 170 people were killed. Do you know anything about that?  ?  (close-ended question, one answer)

 

Total respondents

Aged 18-24

Aged 25-34

Aged 35-44

Aged 45-59

60 and above

I am well informed about it

62

51

62

62

66

66

I heard something about it  but I do not know any details

33

44

32

32

29

30

I hear about that for the first time

5

5

6

5

4

4

Hard to tell

>1

 0

0

1

0

0


In your opinion, what caused such a big flooding in Kuban?
(open-ended question, not more than three answers, % of those who heard about the Kuban flooding)

Natural disasters

46

Negligence and irresponsibility of authorities

19

Poor state of reservoirs

5

Discharge of water from a local reservoir ; floodgates were opened

5

Human factor

3

Subversive act, terrorist attack

2

God`s will

1

Interference of human with nature

1

Poor geographical position

1

Other

1

Hard to tell

22


More than 170 people were killed during the flooding. In your opinion, what caused such a death toll?
(open-ended question, not more than three answers, % of those who heard about the Kuban flooding)

Early warning notification not being in time

32

Negligence and irresponsibility of authorities

13

Effect of surprise: it was at night, people were sleeping

11

People did not know what to do

6

Authorities lacked for special training; they did not have any plan of actions in case of emergency

5

Ineffective, unorganized performance of all emergency bodies  

4

Delayed decision about evacuation

3

Overall unreadiness  

3

Reservoirs discharged water being too close to the city, wrong landscape

3

The disaster is resulted from the overall situation in the country and the mess in all the spheres

1

Ill-timed forecast

1

This is a natural disaster; no victims could have been saved

11

Other

1

Hard to tell

16


In your opinion, who is responsible for the consequences of the Kuban flooding? (open-ended question, not more than three answers, % of those who heard about the Kuban flooding)

Local authorities

28

Regional authorities; governor personally

21

Authorities at all levels

8

Federal authorities (government, prime-minister, president)

8

Those who are in charge of security and early warning system  (Ministry of Natural Disaster)

6

Hydrometeorological centre

2

We will know about that after the investigation  

1

No one, this is a natural disaster which cannot be forecast

23

Other

1

Hard to tell

12


Lots of victim assistance points were opened across Russia. Will you personally assist those suffered from the flooding/ have you already helped them, or not? (close-ended question, one answer)

Total respondents, July 2012

Hundreds of volunteers contributed to fighting against flooding this summer. Some were putting up fires; others were providing assistance to those in need. Did you personally take part in that? (close-ended question, one answer)

 

Total respondents, August 2010

I am planning to go there? I have been there as volunteer to clean up and to transfer humanitarian aid

1

I took part in putting up fires

3

I am, going to bring/ I have brought some products, clothes and medicine  

14

I have brought some products, clothes and medicine  

5

I am going to transfer/ I have transferred  some money to an account

13

I have transferred some money to an account/ I have given some money

2

No, I did not take part in anything like that , and I am not going to do that

58

I gave shelter to victims of fire

0

Other

6

I did not do anything like that

87

Hard to tell

9

Other

1

 

 

Hard to tell

2

Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory!

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