Results of our studies

MOSCOW, 30 May 2022. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the findings of a survey describing the attitudes of Russians towards Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine.

Over the recent three months public support for the special military operation has been stable: 72% of Russians support the decision to conduct Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine; 18% oppose it; 9% remain undecided.  

Understanding of the goals has been the same too:  mainly to protect Russia, to disarm Ukraine and not to allow NATO to deploy military bases in Ukraine (40%). One in five considers that the main goal is to change Ukraine’s political course and to denazify it (20%); 18% think the main goal is to protect the population of Donbas (DNR and LNR); 7% say that the main goal is to occupy Ukraine and incorporate it into Russia.

The protest mood levels have decreased by another 4 p.p. since March 2022: based on May 26 data, only 14% of respondents think that mass protests are likely to happen in the area (vs 26% in May 2021). Intentions to express personal protest have not changed compared to March: 11% of Russians would personally take part in protest actions; 84% are likely not to take part in protests if they take place.

Russian nationwide VCIOM-Sputnik surveys were conducted on February 25, 27, March 3, 17, 24, April 12, 24, May 12, 26, 2022. A total of 1,600 of Russians aged 18 and older took part in each survey. Results are based on telephone interviews. Survey method: telephone interviews using a stratified random sample based on a complete list of Russian mobile phone numbers. The data were weighted according to selection probability and social and demographic characteristics. The margin of error at a 95% confidence level does not exceed 2.5%. In addition to sampling error, minor changes to the wording of questions and different circumstances arising during the fieldwork can introduce bias into the survey.

 

Do you support or not support the decision to conduct Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

25.II

27.II

03.III

17.III

24.III

12.IV

 24.IV

12.V

26.V

Likely to support

65

68

71

74

76

72

72

74

72

Unlikely to support

25

22

21

17

15

19

20

17

18

Don’t know

10

10

8

9

9

9

9

8

10

In your opinion, what goal is Russia seeking to achieve by conducting the special military operation in Ukraine? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

3.III

17.III

24.III

 12.IV

24.IV

12.V

26.V

To protect Russia, to disarm Ukraine and not to allow NATO to deploy military bases in Ukraine

46

46

42

43

39

42

40

To protect the population in Donbas (DNR and LNR)

19

19

21

20

20

19

20

To change Ukraine’s political course, to conduct denazification 

18

17

18

17

18

18

18

To occupy Ukraine and to incorporate it into Russia

5

5

4

5

5

6

7

Other

8

7

8

10

11

8

9

Don’t know

4

6

8

5

8

6

6

In your opinion, how likely are mass protest actions against falling living standards, unfair government activities, in defense of rights and freedoms in your city/area? (closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

2021

2022

 

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III

IV

V

Highly likely

31

28

28

26

24

25

24

22

22

25

24

21

21

18

13

14

Unlikely

61

64

65

66

68

67

68

70

70

67

68

72

72

75

80

79

Don’t know

7

7

8

7

8

8

8

8

7

8

8

7

7

7

7

7

If such protest actions take place, will you personally take part in them, or not?
(closed-ended question, one answer, % of total respondents)

 

2021

2022

 

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III

IV

V

Likely to take part

14

16

16

16

16

18

18

17

19

20

20

17

18

10

10

11

Unlikely to take part

81

79

78

79

78

76

76

77

76

74

73

76

76

84

84

84

Don’t know

5

5

6

5

6

6

6

6

6

6

7

7

6

6

6

5