Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

Vladimir Putin retains the support of all main electorate groups.

MOSCOW, November 24, 2015. Russian Public Opinion Research Centre (VCIOM) presents the data of the survey devoted to the presidential approval and the United Russia party support ratings.

Vladimir Putin job approval rating got its maximum (87-88%). The number of approvals was increasing against the Crimean developments that took place in spring 2014. At the same time, the approval ratings have been high over sixteen years: the monthly average meanings have not got less than 60% since 1999.

Over the recent year and a half, this indicator has been high (above 84%). The presidential approval rating started increasing in March 2014 and reached 86% in May (from 64% in February); it was 87% in October 2015.

Those who have more approvals for the performance of V. Putin over the recent two years are respondents who have high income (increase from 45% in November 2013 to 82% in May 2015) and respondents with average income (increase from 63% to 88%, respectively). There has been an increase in the shares of the CPRF and CPRF supporters who favor the presidential work - from 31-39% in November 2013 to 82-85% in May 2015.  

The electoral support for the United Russia party has also strengthened against the Crimea’s incorporation into Russia. However, the increase was not so significant, and the result was not fixed. In the beginning of 2014, the share made up 42-43% and reached 60% in May 2014 (monthly average).    Compared to 2003, the growth is substantial (from 29% in 2003). At the same time, in contrast to the presidential rating, the number of the United Russia party supporters has changed. As early as in June 2014, the party rating plunged to 55% followed by a period of slight fluctuations within 55-59% and then dropped to 52-53% in November.

Remarkably, among those groups of respondents who have low income the maximum support level, despite a substantial growth from 28% in November 2013,  made up 48% in June 2014; since that time  it has not gone down  (not lower than 38% in November 2015). As to the elderly respondents’ group, the increase was less remarkable (from 45% in November 2013 to 55% in June 2014); today the value is lower than in other age groups (47%). 

Vladimir Putin is at the top of the Medialogia company rating of the most popular Russian public figures mentioned in the media in 2015 (1.5 mln references). The top three most cited persons include Dmitry Medvedev (471 thousand references) and Sergey Lavrov (167 thousand references). The Russian president was mentioned in the context of the 2015 negotiations on Syria, negotiations on Ukraine, the Russian operation in Syria and suspension of air traffic with Egypt caused by the Russian plane crash in Egypt.  

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Monitoring and analysis of the Russian media publications were carried out by the Medialogia Company using approximately 28 400 sources such as television, radio, newspapers, magazines, information agencies and online media. Research period: January 1 – November 20, 2015.

The VCIOM opinion polls were conducted in 1999 - 2015 ; 1600 respondents (in each survey) were interviewed in 130 settlements in 46 regions of Russia. The margin of error does not exceed 3.5%.

V. Putin’s performance approval rating* (% of respondents)

X.99

88

X.00

74

X.01

84

X.02

87

X.03

73

X.04

69

X.05

72

IX.06

79

X.07

82

X.08

79

X.09

74

X.10

71

X.11

61

X.12

64

X.13

61

X.14

87

X.15

87

V. Putin’s performance approval rating* (% of respondents)

XI.13

61

XII.13

62

I.14

61

II.14

64

III.14

74

IV.14

82

V.14

86

VI.14

84

VII.14

85

VIII.14

87

IX.14

89

X.14

89

XI.14

87

XII.14

86

I.15

87

II.15

88

III.15

87

IV.15

88

V.15

88

VI.15

89

VII.15

89

VIII.15

88

IX.15

86

X.15

87

7-8.XI.15

87

14-15.XI.15

87

21-22.XI.15

88

*In 2000-2007, 2012-2015 the question was as follows: “Do you generally approve or disapprove of the performance of the Russian president? (close-ended question, one answer, %); in 1999, 2008-2011: “Do you generally approve or disapprove of the performance of the Russian Prime-minister?”(close-ended question, one answer, %).

United Russia party rating** (% of respondents)

X.03

29

X.04

34

X.05

39

IX.06

44

X.07

54

X.08

60

X.09

52

X.10

51

X.11

48

X.12

48

X.13

43

X.14

56

X.15

55

United Russia party rating** (% of respondents)

XI.13

43

XII.13

43

I.14

42

II.14

43

III.14

51

IV.14

55

V.14

60

VI.14

55

VII.14

56

VIII.14

58

IX.14

59

X.14

58

XI.14

56

XII.14

56

I.15

59

II.15

59

III.15

58

IV.15

57

V.15

58

VI.15

58

VII.15

58

VIII.15

55

IX.15

53

X.15

55

7-8.XI.15

52

14-15.XI.15

53

21-22.XI.15

53

**Based on the question “If the State Duma election took place next Sunday, which of the following parties would you would vote for?” (close-ended question, one answer, %). Answers related to the United Russia party are cited.  

Position

Person 

Number of references 

1

Vladimir Putin

1 517 987

2

Dmitry Medvedev

470 711

3

Sergey Lavrov

166 652

Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory! Full or partial reproduction of the Medialogia Company materials in other media must contain a reference to the Medialogia Company.

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