Results of our studies

IN BRIEF

Russians think the socio-economic problems are the main reasons behind the upheaval and expect positive changes to come.

MOSCOWMarch 2, 2011. Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) presents the data concerning the attitudes of Russians towards upheaval in the Arab world.

The overwhelming majority of Russians know about the recent developments in the Arab world (86%). Thirty-five percent of them keep a sharp eye on that; other 51% know about the situation in general. Those who are most informed are supporters of non-parliament parties (65%), CPRF (48%) and Fair Russia party (46%), respondents of pre-retirement and retirement ages (37-39%), Russians with high income (40%). Young Russians, elderly respondents and rural area residents do not know anything about the unrest in the Arab world (9%, 13-14% and 14% respectively).

Those Russians who know about the Arab unrest regard low living standards to be the main reason behind the unrest (45%). This is followed by political reasons such as stagnation - 14%, rigid authoritarian regime - 13%. Eight percent are confident that the unrest was caused by high level of corruption. Those who say the reasons are Western intelligence services provocation (2%) and Islamists actions (1%) are in the minority.  

Asked about the key participants of the Egypt demonstrations, Russians mention all the population of the country regardless of social status, age and religion (33%). Every fifth (22%) is confident that the main participants of the unrest are the poor who fight for a decent standard of living (22%). Other 12% mention different population groups such as youth (5%), unemployed, working class (3% for each), and Islamists (2%). Nine percent of participants name opposition (6%), professional agitators, and provocateurs (3%).

Predicting the life in Egypt after the riots, a relative majority of respondents (38%) expect positive changes and expect that the authorities would listen to people. Those who are optimistic are respondents aged 35-59 (41-43%), Russians with high level of education (40%), active internet users (43%). Every forth (24%) believe the actions will only aggravate the situation in Egypt. Those who think so are mainly elderly respondents (28%), and respondents with the level of education above average (26-27%), supporters of the United Russia party (53%) and absentees (54%). Nineteen percent of respondents say that long-lasting mass protests will not lead to anything; they are mainly young respondents (22-32%), episodic internet users (21%), communists, Fair Russia party adherents and absentees (10-11%).

The initiative Russian opinion polls were conducted on 12-13 February, 2011. 1600 respondents were interviewed at 138 sampling points in 46 regions of Russia. The margin of error does not exceed 3.4%.

A wave of upheaval has swept across the Arab world. The power in Tunisia has changed. Demonstrations and rallies have also taken place in Egypt, Yemen, Jordan and other countries. Have you heard anything about that? (close-ended question, one answer)

 

Total respondents

Aged 18-24

Aged 25-34

Aged 35-44

Aged 45-59

60 and above

Yes, I keep a sharp eye on the situation in the Arab world

35

27

33

32

39

37

I heard something about that but I do not know in  details

51

53

59

54

46

48

I did not hear anything about that

9

14

6

6

8

13

Hard to tell

5

6

2

7

7

3

In your opinion, what is behind the upheaval? 
(open-ended question, any number of answers, % of those who know about the unrest)

Low living standards  (poverty, unemployment, famine)

45

Long rule  by one man

14

Rigid authoritarian regime

13

Corruption

8

Western services provocations

2

Islamists` actions (Islamists, Muslims)  

1

Other

1

Hard to tell

24

In your opinion, who participate in demonstrations and rallies in the Arab world, and why? (open-ended question, any number of answers, % of those who know about the unrest)

All the population of the country

33

Those who fight for their rights

11

Poor

8

Opposition

6

Youth

5

Activists, supporters of the opposition

3

Unemployed, loafers

3

Working class (middle class)

3

Islamists

2

Provocateurs, agitators who make benefits out of it

2

Western services

1

Military officers, army

0

Other

1

Hard to tell

30

In your opinion, what the mass protests would lead to? 
(close-ended question, one answer, % of those who know about the protests)

 

Total respondents

CPRF supporters

LDPR supporters

Fair Russia party supporters

United Russia party supporters

Supporters of non-parliament parties (Pravoe Delo, Yabloko, Patriots of Russia)

I would not take part in elections

to positive changes: the power will listen to the people

38

43

48

46

34

65

31

to negative changes: the power will tighten the screw

24

42

45

38

53

30

54

No changes

19

11

5

10

8

4

11

Hard to tell

19

4

2

6

5

0

5

 

Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory!

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